As May leaves we remember the disappointments that were The Darkness and Money Monster, but with June rolling in and the summer schedule at full speed, we’re looking at this upcoming month’s studio films and predicting their opening weekends.
Out on the weekend of June 3rd are Universal’s Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping, Warner’s Me Before You, and Paramount’s Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows. You’ve got to love it when we have multiple wide releases releasing from the majors on the same day. Although Paramount hasn’t had the very best year, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows is coming off the goodwill of its predecessor. It wasn’t very well liked by fans of the original series, but families seemed to eat it up. 2014’s Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles opened in first place over a second week Guardians of the Galaxy a to a very healthy $65,575,105. I want to think this new installment in the series has some fans eagerly awaiting it, but those in for a nostalgic kick last time probably won’t show up this time around. Still, I expect this one to easily top that weekend’s newcomers with around $56,000,000.
Universal’s Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping can be compared to quite a few movies within the last few years. The closest being the SNL film MacGruber, also from Universal. Unfortunately for The Lonely Island MacGruber flopped even with a very modest $10 million budget. Popstar should do a little better, though, and should open at around $10,000,000. Still, not the summer comedy hit Universal and producer Judd Apatow were hoping for.
Like Popstar, Warner’s Me Before You offers very little to speak about. Its performance will be comparable to Warner/New Line’s If I Stay which opened to $15,000,000 in 2014.
|Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2||$56m||$157m|
|Me Before You||$15m||$37m|
|Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping||$10m||$19m|
Just a week later will be Lionsgate’s Now You See Me 2, Universal’s Warcraft, and Warner’s The Conjuring 2. Now You See Me 2 is a sequel not many have asked for. The original’s marketing campaign was the result of its $29,350,389 opening, but it suffered from bad reviews and it will surely open lower than the first one with $24,000,000.
Warcraft is the first film from the video game franchise World of Warcraft. Although World of Warcraft has a huge following and Blizzard has kept the money coming in for years just on it, the fanfare just isn’t there for the movie. Not only that, but a broken embargo has led to early reviews coming out and they’re extremely negative. Expect what should have been a huge blockbuster to lose Universal a lot of money. A $40,000,000 opening weekend seems likely.
The Conjuring 2 is poised to take top spot on the June 10-13th weekend. If early word is to be believed, it’s going to be good. The original Conjuring flick unexpectedly smashed the box office after being pushed to the summer due to test screenings being better than expected. It also topped the box office and no horror flick has been able to match its exact success since. I’ll go on the higher end of my estimate and say it’ll open to $44,000,000.
|The Conjuring 2||$44m||$102m|
|Now You See Me 2||$24m||$57m|